According to a report by the Information and Credit Rating Agency (ICRA), cement volume growth in India is projected to stay at 6-7% during the Financial Year 2026, supported by rising demand from the housing and infrastructure sectors. This follows a 6.3% increase in cement volumes during FY2025.
Despite global economic uncertainties, significant capacity additions are anticipated, with projections of 43-45 million metric tonnes per annum (MTPA) in FY2026, compared to 32-35 Mn MTPA in FY2025. ICRA has maintained a stable outlook for the sector.
In the first half of FY2025, cement volumes grew modestly by 1.7% year-on-year to around 212 Mn metric tonnes due to factors such as General Elections and extended monsoons. However, the second half witnessed a strong recovery, with volumes increasing by 10.7% year-on-year to around 241 Mnmetric tonnes.
ICRA noted that eastern and northern India would lead capacity additions, with 22-24 Mn MTPA combined. The southern region, despite oversupply, is also seeing significant expansion to maintain market share.
Cement prices recovered from the third quarter onwards, following a 10 per cent decline earlier. Lower costs of coal and pet coke have provided interim relief to producers.
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