Indian Real Estate Set For 16% Annual Growth

The interplay between real estate and India’s economic growth journey over the next few decades is explored in the latest report by Colliers in collaboration with CREDAI. It states, “As India heads towards its centenary year of independence, real estate will play a pivotal role in economic growth trajectory of the country. This long-term growth in real estate is underpinned by six salient growth levers which includes, rapid urbanization, infrastructure development, digitalization, demographic shifts, sustainability and investment diversification; all of which will be pivotal in the expansion of Indian real estate – from under a trillion currently, to potentially a USD 10 trillion market by 2047, accounting for a 14-20% share in the country’s GDP.”

Most importantly, the quantum leap will create multiple real estate hotspots in its wake. Core assets such as office & residential real estate are likely to mature further and alternative assets such as data centers & senior living will embark upon strong growth trajectories. Market consolidation, fair-pricing and institutionalization will become more pervasive across asset classes, especially in the industrial & warehousing segment. 

Further, half of the Indian population is projected to live in urban agglomerations by 2050. With rapid urbanization and supporting factors like infrastructure growth & employment opportunities, real estate traction is likely to expand beyond the tier I cities and create dispersed growth centers in smaller towns & cities. Peripheral areas of established cities and tier II & III cities of the country will particularly witness accelerated real estate development across asset classes.

Shifting demographics will drive real estate activity, especially in housing and retail asset classes. With a significant portion of the Indian population likely to fall in the sweet spot of ‘First-time homebuyer’ age-bracket, healthy traction across housing categories is expected in the next few decades. Additionally, population with a significant share of older people can potentially speed up investments in the senior living market.

Over the next few years, asset classes under REITs/SM REITs will expand beyond office and retail to include warehouses, hotels, and rent-yielding residential properties. In the long-term, such financing avenues will become prevalent in alternate real estate verticals such as data centers, hospitals, educational institutes, senior and student living accommodations etc.

Alternate investments to become mainstream, as per the report.The anticipated spurt in foreign capital and equally strong contribution from domestic investors will fast-track the adoption of alternate funding strategies in Indian real estate. Green financing in the form of bonds & credit issuances and relatively newer financing avenues such as social-impact, distressed, special situation, and venture capital funds will become more prevalent in the next few years.

The report highlights that over the next few years, the Indian real estate sector will increasingly embrace digitalization across aspects ranging from planning, design & construction to property & facilities management. PropTech and Metaverse are likely to mature and elevate Indian real estate to global standards of operational efficiency, transparency and accountability. Increased data consumption, growing internet penetration, rise of online services, digitalization of businesses, and stricter adherence to data localization regulations are expected to spur demand for co-location and edge data centers closer to demand hubs.  

“Advanced technologies will also play a major role in decarbonizing the real estate sector. With focus on built spaces, developers will incorporate sustainable elements at every stage of construction. Green-certifications in the office market will particularly become a hygiene-factor and green-adoption levels are likely to increase from about 60-70% to almost 100% over the next few years, “said the report.