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Moody Cuts Outlook For China Banks

Moody Cuts Outlook For China Banks

BY Realty Plus
Published - Monday, 11 Dec, 2023
Moody Cuts Outlook For China Banks

Moody’s Investors Service cut its outlook for eight Chinese banks to negative from stable following an identical downgrade to China’s government credit ratings a day earlier.

The ratings agency also lowered Hong Kong’s outlook from stable to negative, citing tight political, institutional, economic and financial linkages between Hong Kong and mainland China.

The lenders that were downgraded included the the big four Chinese lenders, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China and China Construction Bank Corporation.

Moody’s had cut its outlook for China’s government credit ratings to negative from stable on Tuesday, as it expects Beijing’s support and possible bailouts for distressed local governments and state-owned enterprises would diminish China’s fiscal, economic and institutional strength.

The other banks on the list were China Development Bank, Agricultural Development Bank of China, the Export-Import Bank of China, and Postal Savings Bank of China Co. The downgrades highlight worries over China’s rising debt level and its effect on GDP growth in the world’s second-largest economy.

Moody’s also slashed its outlook for 22 Chinese local government financing vehicles to negative from stable. LGFVs are companies set up by local governments to invest in infrastructure and social-welfare projects.

The ratings agency said the LGFV downgrades were primarily a result of the change in outlook to negative from stable for China’s government credit ratings. They were driven by increased risks over lower medium-term economic growth and strains from the ongoing property sector crisis.

Moody’s attributed the Hong Kong downgrade to its close-knit relationship with mainland China: “Given the close relationship inherent in the ‘One Country, Two Systems’ policy; in the economy, given the very strong trade links between the two; and in the financial system, given Hong Kong’s banking system’s involvement in the mainland and role as a conduit for finance flows into the regional and global financial systems.”

 

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